El Niño on the Horizon
The waters of the Pacific between South America and Indonesia are predicted to shift from the ongoing La Niña cooling of the past three years to a warming El Niño later this year.
Atmospheric scientists warn this could push global temperatures “off the charts” and make 2024 the first year global heating rises higher than 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial times.
The last hottest year on record was in 2016, which was also a major El Niño year. The US environment agency NOAA says there is a 66% chance of El Niño quickly replacing the current La Niña between August and October of this year.
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