Tropical Storms
In the Western Pacific:
Tropical depression 33w is located approximately 354 nm west-northwest of Andersen AFB, Guam. The final advisory on this system has already been issued.
Europe
Extreme Windstorm Xaver is poised to batter Denmark and Germany. A developing extratropical low pressure system over the North Atlantic, dubbed "Xaver", is predicted to "bomb" into a potent storm with winds near hurricane force that will bring damaging winds and storm tides to the coasts of Germany, the Netherlands, and Denmark on Thursday.
The centre of the low will pass over southern Norway, bringing strong northwest winds that will funnel down the North Sea. The European model predicts that at 18 UTC on Thursday, winds on the west coast of Denmark will be sustained near 69 mph (110 kph), and will be near 115 mph (185 kph) at 850 mb (roughly a height of 5,000 feet or 1500 meters).
The predicted surface winds of Xaver will be similar to the ones the Netherlands experienced during the great February 1, 1953 North Sea storm that breached dikes in the Netherlands and England and killed over 2100 people.
Fortunately, the German coast is well protected by dikes, which should be able to withstand Xaver's storm surge. By Thursday night, Xaver's center will cross southern Sweden, and damaging winds from the storm will sweep the coasts of Poland, Lithuania, and southern Sweden.
El Niño-La Niña
A continuing neutral El Niño-La Niña state in the equatorial Pacific is likely to persist during summer, bringing lower pressures and fewer westerlies.
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